Crypto Big-Move Radar
Each day, the coins most likely to make a big swing (10%+ high-to-low) today. Updated 24 Oct 2026, 10:01 Lagos time.
Today's coins
This is a volatility alert, not a buy or sell signal: the radar says a coin is likely to move a lot, not which way.
Today's coins on Binance, Bybit and OKX
The same radar, limited to coins each exchange lists as USDT perpetual futures (day 2026-10-24, UTC).
Tested on 671 past days with today's exchange listings. Same rule as above: a volatility alert, not a buy or sell signal.
BTC turbulence meter
Chance that Bitcoin moves 1.5% or more, up OR down, within the next 2 hours.
| Meter said | How often | Tested: BTC moved 1.5%+ within 2h | Live so far |
|---|---|---|---|
| calm | 62% of the time | 2% | 1% (3483 readings) |
| normal | 27% of the time | 7% | 5% (1288 readings) |
| elevated | 9% of the time | 18% | 13% (319 readings) |
| storm | 2% of the time | 36% | 24% (42 readings) |
| any time | 100% | 6% |
Tested on Apr 2026 - Sep 2026, data the meter never trained on. Live = every 5-minute reading since launch, scored 2 hours later (neighbouring readings overlap, so treat early live numbers with care). The meter says how MUCH Bitcoin is likely to move, not which way: in tests it could not tell up from down, so it is not a buy or sell signal.
Expected range today
How far BTC, ETH and SOL are likely to travel from today's low to today's high (UTC day).
So far 73% of days landed inside the likely band (63 coin-days; the band is built so about 7 in 10 should).
| Day (UTC) | BTC | ETH | SOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | 1.9%expected 2.6% | 2.7%expected 3.9% | 3.4%expected 4.5% |
| 2026-10-22 | 4.1%expected 2.8% | 5.0%expected 3.4% | 4.2%expected 4.5% |
| 2026-10-21 | 2.7%expected 2.8% | 3.6%expected 3.8% | 3.3%expected 4.4% |
| 2026-10-20 | 2.7%expected 2.5% | 4.4%expected 3.9% | 4.4%expected 4.6% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1.7%expected 2.8% | 2.5%expected 4.3% | 2.6%expected 5.0% |
| 2026-10-18 | 2.0%expected 1.7% | 4.2%expected 3.1% | 4.2%expected 4.3% |
| 2026-10-17 | 1.2%expected 1.1% | 3.5%expected 1.9% | 4.0%expected 3.3% |
In tests since 2023 these forecasts were as accurate as the options market's own expectation, and far better than "same as yesterday". Green = the real range landed inside the likely band.
This week in markets
Expected average daily range (high to low) for the week of 2026-10-26, Monday to Friday.
So far 83% of weeks landed inside the likely band (12 market-weeks; built so about 7 in 10 should).
| Week | OIL | S&P 500 | EUR/USD | GOLD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| week of 2026-10-19 | 5.17%expected 3.60% | 0.78%expected 0.97% | 0.41%expected 0.51% | 1.58%expected 1.52% |
| week of 2026-10-12 | 4.05%expected 4.31% | 0.92%expected 0.75% | 0.58%expected 0.53% | 1.66%expected 1.59% |
| week of 2026-10-05 | 3.54%expected 4.13% | 0.66%expected 0.85% | 0.65%expected 0.49% | 1.71%expected 1.85% |
Tested on every week since 2015: the weeks forecast as wildest moved 2 to 3 times more than the weeks forecast as calmest. Calm and busy spells tend to last, and the first Friday of the month (US jobs report) is usually the busiest day.
Live strategy books
Paper trading with $10,000 per book, updated daily. No real money, real market prices.
| Day | BTC Trend | Multi-coin Trend | Radar Long/Short | Radar Day-Trader | Radar HA Intraday | Radar L/S protected (what-if) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | -4.1% | -7.4% | -6.0% | +86.0% | +52.7% | +8.1% |
| 2026-10-23 | -4.1% | -6.9% | -6.4% | +86.0% | +65.9% | +7.5% |
| 2026-10-22 | -0.7% | -6.4% | -5.2% | +80.9% | +68.1% | +8.5% |
| 2026-10-21 | -2.0% | -6.1% | +0.8% | +97.1% | +67.4% | +14.5% |
| 2026-10-20 | -3.3% | -5.9% | +3.7% | +90.2% | +86.5% | +17.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | -3.0% | -6.4% | +4.6% | +105.9% | +90.3% | +14.3% |
| 2026-10-18 | -3.8% | -5.5% | +5.5% | +105.4% | +106.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | -3.6% | -5.5% | -6.6% | +112.4% | +70.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-10-16 | -2.9% | -5.2% | -5.5% | +77.2% | +65.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-10-15 | -3.6% | -5.2% | -7.6% | +82.1% | +63.2% | +0.0% |
Trend strategies are judged over months, not days: short stretches are mostly noise. The table shows each book's result from its start, day by day.
Track record
(63 picks over 21 days)
(671 days, 2024-11-29 → 2026-09-30)
Last 30 days, scored
| Day (UTC) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | Pick 3 | Avg coin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Q26.6%-7.1% | AKE38.6%+23.9% | BR15.0%-3.7% | 9.1% |
| 2026-10-22 | Q21.0%+7.7% | BR17.6%+6.6% | AKE46.0%+31.2% | 9.7% |
| 2026-10-21 | BR29.0%-24.4% | Q29.8%-10.6% | 龙虾10.8%+0.1% | 8.4% |
| 2026-10-20 | Q18.1%-6.5% | BR27.3%-8.8% | 龙虾20.5%+4.2% | 9.9% |
| 2026-10-19 | Q99.4%+18.8% | 龙虾23.0%-2.5% | BR64.4%+53.8% | 7.7% |
| 2026-10-18 | Q53.6%-8.8% | BR33.6%+2.4% | US9.0%-4.1% | 9.3% |
| 2026-10-17 | Q142.4%+112.1% | 龙虾10.4%-5.3% | TIA19.3%-6.1% | 9.8% |
| 2026-10-16 | STRK19.6%-14.4% | 龙虾17.2%-3.2% | US16.7%-4.5% | 9.2% |
| 2026-10-15 | Q14.7%+2.0% | US24.1%-3.5% | 龙虾27.8%+1.1% | 11.7% |
| 2026-10-14 | Q25.3%+21.3% | US30.3%-13.8% | 龙虾43.7%-38.6% | 11.4% |
| 2026-10-13 | STRK12.8%+0.1% | US26.4%-23.4% | USELESS11.4%-1.9% | 11.6% |
| 2026-10-12 | US20.5%-10.5% | STRK34.6%-31.0% | GRASS18.5%-8.7% | 12.7% |
| 2026-10-11 | STRK24.9%+19.3% | US57.9%-36.4% | BR14.0%-11.7% | 11.4% |
| 2026-10-10 | US49.9%-39.8% | STRK53.4%+41.3% | 龙虾16.0%+0.6% | 9.4% |
| 2026-10-09 | 龙虾26.2%-11.5% | US128.6%+101.2% | BR9.5%-5.1% | 10.7% |
| 2026-10-08 | US26.1%+24.8% | 龙虾42.1%+26.3% | SAND18.2%-14.6% | 14.7% |
| 2026-10-07 | US28.5%-12.9% | 龙虾59.6%-37.7% | BR20.8%-13.7% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-06 | US47.5%+37.6% | 龙虾82.0%+46.1% | NIGHT7.8%-3.5% | 9.4% |
| 2026-10-05 | US31.6%-21.2% | 龙虾23.9%+0.2% | BR21.2%+1.9% | 9.7% |
| 2026-10-04 | 龙虾26.7%-9.0% | US38.3%-30.3% | BR20.7%-17.4% | 8.1% |
| 2026-10-03 | 龙虾50.2%+27.3% | US25.5%-18.7% | NIGHT11.6%-2.3% | 8.4% |
Big number = the day's high-to-low swing (green when 10% or more). Small number = open-to-close change. "Avg coin" = the average swing of all tracked coins that day.